2:40 – Our Rockstar 25/1 E/W
A rather speculative one, but there are reasons to expect an improved performance from this mare.
Well beaten on all three starts last season, it’s important to note that all three of those runs came on soft ground which does not suit her. Stranger still, her last two starts came over two miles despite her best runs coming over 2m4f-3m.
In my mind, they were runs to get her handicap mark back down to a level where she could go well. In all of those starts, she was held up in rear and was never put into the race.
Two seasons ago, she ran won on her handicap debut off a mark of 94 before winning again off 102. Another good run in defeat after that saw her mark soar to 114. Since then, her form reads: 69008.
However, her mark has plummeted by 20lbs following those five runs which sees her return to a mark of 94; the mark she won off a year ago and 8lbs lower than her last winning mark.
Furthermore, she gets the step up in trip today and is back on her preferred good ground.
You have to hope that last season was a blip (and hopefully an intentional one to make her well handicapped again), but she’s only a 6-year-old with 11 starts over hurdles to her name so it’s not like she’s been on the go along time.
At the prices and with a field size of only 9, she’s worth an EW bet.
overandclear.com 