1:45 – Le Cameleon 9/1 E/W
I’ve always had a lot of time for this horse and long time readers might remember him featuring in my “eyecatchers of the week” series.
Set a tough task on chase debut, he shaped well without setting the world on fire but Nick Williams has a reputation for bringing his chasers on gradually.
In the last 5 seasons, he’s only had 2 winners over fences when tackling them for the first time from 22 runners (9% S/R, A/E 0.55). The last first time out chase winner he had was back in 2017.
In contrast, he has a 33% S/R with his chasers second time out in the same time period (6 wins and 3 placed from 18 runners, A/E 1.38). This season, his second time out chasers have a record of 121.
Nick Williams has a fair 17% S/R at Market Rasen (22% with his chasers) and this race looks winnable.
Le Cameleon is bred to excel over fences and he won a handicap hurdle a shade cosily off 120 last season. On that basis, a mark of 122 shouldn’t be beyond him and indeed I believe he has potential to surpass that mark. He tended to jump right on chase debut so going this way should suit and I think he has a great chance.
overandclear.com 