2:05 – Manning Estate 12/1 E/W
An eight runner field is ripe for an EW bet – please god let the whole field stand their ground.
Manning Estate embarked on his second attempt at a chasing career earlier this season and while it went better than his first attempt, he didn’t take to it as expected and subsequently reverted to hurdles at the turn of the year. While he was well beaten, the tapes were going through a terrible run of form. With just one winner from thirty six attempts during January and February (A/E 0.25) which resulted in the yard taking a break.
They returned in March with a few going close, while their overall record this month is two winners and three placed from seventeen runners (A/E 1.14).
Furthermore, the ten pound claimer is replaced by Johnathan Burke which must be viewed as a positive.
He’s a horse that needs good ground, which he gets today, while he runs off his last winning mark of 120. That win also came off a fair absence so the 76-day layoff is not a negative.
Oliver Sherwood over-performs at Newbury (A/E 1.13) while he does even better in handicap hurdles at the track (A/E 1.52)
While there are some fair performers in the lineup, Manning Estate looks significantly overpriced at present baring in mind that he’s only a seven-year-old who’s thee starts in three mile handicap hurdles have resulted in a win, a second and a fourth; the latter of those came on his seasonal reappearance, where he shaped far better than the margin of defeat suggests.
overandclear.com 